Wx: 2010/2011 Winter Forecasts

[jeffro]

lawl dude i could sadly sit here and do this all night.

 

If your seriously interested, heres 110+ pages of info on this particular storm. never seen one that big over there haha.

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=23890&st=2220&gopid=1118857entry1118857

 

Pulled form their long range bullshit.

 

A CHANGEOVER FROM RAIN TO HEAVY SNOW IS FORECAST LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ACROSS MISSOURI AND THE OHIO VALLEY, WITH RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE SOUTHEAST. HIGH WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE MIDWEST SATURDAY AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY SUNDAY, RESULTING IN REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND POTENTIAL NEAR-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS

[GSXRAntwon]

Kool, I've always liked this weather stuff

[GSXRAntwon]

Good through 12/13/10, updated last night around midnight.

 

 

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=110662

[GSXRAntwon]

It will change, but that model shows rough accumulation predictions

[jeffro]

i honestly think we will see more than that.

most recent track puts us right on the freeze line, but again, it can snow with temps warmer than 32.

 

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=110773

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=110774

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=110775

[Mr. Jones]

As usual, we'll have cold rain and ice.

[SpaceGhost]

I've been reading about this most of the day, and the only consensus between all the models is there is no consensus. They are all over the place, it's possible it cuts up through Indianapolis and misses us for snow. One thing is Sun night Monday and tuesday is gonna be COLD, teens for highs and single digits for lows. Windchills in the -degrees F. I guess the more sure track will be out Friday when they get a full sample of how strong a low it actually is, it hasn't been sampled since it left Japan. Start the "over night JDM snow from Japan" jokes now.

[GSXRAntwon]

Jeff, any updates yet on accumulations? Or is it still too early?

[wagner]

Jeff, any updates yet on accumulations? Or is it still too early?

 

Rain with a little snow. North East Ohio has feet on the ground and will get more.

[SpaceGhost]

Yeah I figured from the models we would get some rain out of it. Looks to me like it will track right up 71N. However until it's sampled it could go up through Chicago and be all rain for us.

[GSXRAntwon]

Well all the forecasters, even the NWS's website says snow still....we'll see I guess.

[Chad is Dead]

On the news I heard rain followed by 1-3" of snow. I'm dissapointed.

[jeffro]

Antawn, let me try to give you a rundown of whats going on as of the last post i made in here. This storm first started out as a single low, with a destination somewhere between chicago and the ohio river. As the models came in, things got complicated. The latest models show a pair of lows. One forms in the plains, the other down in texas. As we get closer to crunch time, these 2 lows combine and stall over the OV somewhere. The latest QPF models are showing us for about .5" of liquid precip. I think if start out with a brief period of rain before the cold front pushes into the low, then we will see some heavy snow with some mixing. One thing alot of people are failing to realise with the models is that it can snow much warmer than the blue (32*) line. Ive seen it snow with temps at 37, and as cold as the ground has been, everything is going to freeze. the high for sat is 39*, with the precip not supposed to start falling till the evening hours. i think we could see anywhere between 3 and 8 inches saturday night and sunday. Sunday after the low moves up into the eastern great lakes, we will see additional "backlash" snows, lake effect, and some pretty wicked winds. This snow is gonna be powdery once the front moves through, so expect some blowing snow. temps cold as fuck monday and tuesday.

 

wow dont i feel like a weatherman right now wtf.

[jeffro]

whenever the base reflectivities become a little thicker, precip should begin falling. definiately a good inch or so out of this. some pretty dark stuff in Central ind.

 

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/RadarLoop/usa_None_anim.gif

[Bigbird]

Dammit

 

 

I was hoping for some play time in my Subaru.

[SpaceGhost]

Just remember

http://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/weather_radar.png

[ImUrOBGYN]

Just remember

http://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/weather_radar.png

 

OMG, that is f'n Delaware right there.

[jeffro]

Latest snowfall map including the lake effect to follow the initial front. Right on the money for my latest snowfall estimation =P

http://grib2.com/gfs/CONUS_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR.gif

[SpaceGhost]

Accuweather.com is going with the Euro being correct. The above is the American. So not much snow for us.

 

http://www.accuweather.com/video/655578741001/icy-blastpart-two.asp

[jeffro]

hey ben, were you up at walmart last night in lewis center? i was following one that looked just like yours, and i accidently honked at him lol. i dont think it had gold wheels, but im not for certain.

[SpaceGhost]

No sir, I always have my Mr. T wheels on. We ate dinner at Easton around 6pm and I was in bed by 7pm. I am lame. Also I have a "CR" sticker the top of the rear window.

[BrianZ06]

whenever the base reflectivities become a little thicker, precip should begin falling. definiately a good inch or so out of this. some pretty dark stuff in Central ind.

 

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/RadarLoop/usa_None_anim.gif

 

curious where you went to find this map. I looked around and could not find this specific pic.

[jeffro]

http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true

[GSXRAntwon]

So you and Ben keep going back an forth about the accumulations lol.

[Mr. Jones]

Jones weather service is calling for FAIL with a side of AIDS.