Provided Ohio State wins, then they get in for sure if any of the following happens:
1. TCU loses
2. Florida State loses
Ohio State would likely get in if any of the following happened:
1. Oregon loses (it's possible that Arizona might take their spot with a victory and leave Ohio State on the outs)
2. Alabama loses (it's possible they could lose but not fall out of top 4)
Ohio State getting in is an uncomfortable toss up if:
1. Everyone holds serve and wins. That means we'll be dependent on the committee keeping their word that championship games matter and swapping us with TCU.
As Ohio State fans, we want chaos and everyone other than Ohio State to lose, as that would obviously benefit us the most. However, Josh, to your point, I think we don't want Baylor to lose and TCU to win, as then that kills the hold that Baylor currently has on TCU right now. TCU can only claim to be so good knowing that they lost head-to-head Baylor and that the rest of their records are identical.
The committee got a built-in excuse for leaving Ohio State out when JT went out for the reason.