Wx: WINTER 2011/2012 Forecasts

[GSXRAntwon]

Post here. Bring on the fluffy rain!

 

PLEASE KEEP THIS THREAD ON TOPIC AT ALL TIMES.

Thanks, Mgmt :fuckyeah:

 

 

http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/newsstory/2011/590x393_10041805_2011-12%20winter%20highlights%20us.jpg

Current Radar:

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/RadarLoop/day_None_anim.gif

Future radar:

http://hp6.wright-weather.com/wrf_nmmeast-radar-loop_1hour.gif

 

 

Large scale radar:

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_lite_loop.php

(this does not differentiate between snow and rain)

 

High Def local radars:

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/map.asp

(Clicking white + signs will yield a wider low res radar, while the yellow + signs are High def local radars, this is my favorite radar site)

 

snow/rain:

http://www.intellicast.com/National/...x?animate=true

(although sometimes it registers stuff that isnt actually falling (called virga) it gives you a good idea of where the rain/snow line is)

 

Watches/warnings:

Weather.gov

(detailed watch, warning, and advisory info)

 

Models:

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models.html

(Everything you need for short and long range weather forecasting)

 

 

 

other resources

http://hp6.wright-weather.com/wrf_nm...loop_1hour.gif(cool future cast radar thing.)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller(additional models, different layout)

http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cg...ent&field=prec(predicted precip for port columbus international airport, other locals available)

http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cm...e_gem_reg.html(another future cast radar thing)

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml(NOAA hydrological prediction center)

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/grb-comp2.html(model comparisons/overlays)

http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/

http://outagecentral.com/ (Power outage maps for whatever reason)

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ewall.html(Models models models!)

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoan...s4/index2.html(noaa storm prediction center(maps))

 

 

 

 

 

 

11/30- flurries at most total, snowfall for the event

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=145777

Edited November 29, 2011 by Antwon

[jeffro]

Note; all forecasting is subject to 100% change. Edited November 29, 2011 by jeffro

[frenchy chan]

SNOW! YAY!

[Mallard]

FML

[SpaceGhost]

FML

 

I hear you are only to get 3-5 inches, relax. Of course the amount of salt that city puts on highways up there is frightening.

[Sturg1647545502]

I hear you are only to get 3-5 inches, relax. Of course the amount of salt that city puts on highways up there is frightening.

 

relax, im going to give you 3-5"

[jeffro]

This is the next system to roll through. Should be a cold rain with some lake effect snow to follow.

 

Blue line indicates the freezing line at 850MB which is the upper atmosphere

http://i371.photobucket.com/albums/oo160/jeffro1265/Weather/12zgfs850mbTSLPp06132.gif

 

http://i371.photobucket.com/albums/oo160/jeffro1265/Weather/12zgfs850mbTSLPp06168.gif

[GSXRAntwon]

Jeffro, the 1200V168, is that noon on 12/06/11?

[Mallard]

I hear you are only to get 3-5 inches, relax. Of course the amount of salt that city puts on highways up there is frightening.

Probably with a nice base of ice since it's been raining all day. You would think people in the motor city would be decent drivers, but my commute is going to suck ballz. I hate this time of year; the weather, not the holiday's.

[jeffro]

Jeffro, the 1200V168, is that noon on 12/06/11?

 

Yes. v168 just means 168 hours ("hour 168") from the time the model was run.

[PRD2BDF]

I'll be in Oregon about a half hour to a hour from the coast. Lovely, looks like I'll be slammed with snow.

[LJ]

I hear you are only to get 3-5 inches, relax. Of course the amount of salt that city puts on highways up there is frightening.

 

I think i've said this before, but where my wife is from, driving on the roads it sounds like you are driving on gravel due to all the salt.

[SpaceGhost]

I drive up there every January to go to NAIAS. I can hear my car corroding.

[BDHG940]

We getting how much snow ?

[Wease]

We getting how much snow ?

 

A trace, at best. Columbus isn't going to be affected by this all that much in terms of accumulated snow fall.

[Mr. Jones]

Snow lol

[jeffro]

Maybe we could replace the sticky from last year with this one?

[GSXRAntwon]

Done

[Crossle]

Snow lol

 

haha, I was thinking the same thing. I'm ready for it, that's for sure.

[jeffro]

Done

 

wait, what? i dont even

[GSXRAntwon]

wait, what? i dont even

 

Lol problem?

[AJ]

good job talking about it, now we won't get any. dick.

[GSXRAntwon]

Rookies lol, I'm not superstitious

[jeffro]

system on the 5th/6th now shows snow for our area.

GFS:

http://i371.photobucket.com/albums/oo160/jeffro1265/Weather/06zgfs850mbTSLPp06150.gif

DGEX: Shows a similar situation. dates are confused though.

http://i371.photobucket.com/albums/oo160/jeffro1265/Weather/06zdgex850mbTSLPp06120.gif

DGEX QPF: most of this should be frozen according to this run

http://i371.photobucket.com/albums/oo160/jeffro1265/Weather/06zdgexp24_MW138.gif

[SpaceGhost]

Bastardi is calling for a major lake effect event early next week:

 

Hounds of Winter about to howl MAJOR LAKE EFFECT ATTACK EARLY NEXT WEEK, SECOND STRONGER SHOT DOWN THE PLAINS LATER

 

The WeatherBell is Tolling the death chimes of the mild weather pattern. Katie, if you live in the great lakes snow belt. bar the door