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ReconRat

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Posts posted by ReconRat

  1. yeah, the Blue Book is more for identifying. And a first rough estimate. At least for me. Even then, I've seen many firearms that aren't in Blue Book. Either a distinct variation, custom factory work, or something foreign that never made it to the USA. (Military personnel are known for bringing back all sorts of strange stuff.)

     

    Don't get too excited about real high values. Chances are the shottie is in the 400-800 range. Maybe a notch higher. Unless it turns out to be something of limited numbers or great demand. But you never know...

     

    edit: lack of a bayonet lug takes it down lower right away. And blued instead of parkerized probably further. There were a lot of shotgun contracts. I'm leaning toward some sort of WWII surplus.

  2. Most military shotguns had the flaming bomb ordnance marking with the US marking. Or a "P" marking. Very few shotguns had only the US marking. Where is the marking located. Where is the serial number located. And if possible, how long is the barrel.

  3. A decent HD short barrel shotgun shouldn't cost more than 250-300. Saw a 5 shot Stevens on discount last week.

     

    edit: Does the shotgun have a bayonet lug. Is it parkerized or blued.

     

    As a "for instance". A WWI Remington model 10 trench gun is worth 12,500 to 14,000.

  4. holy crap. Be very cautious about moving a US marked military shotgun. Some of those are very valued and very hard to find. Look closer. There should be a manufacturer marking somewhere.

     

    Edit: I use Gun Blue Book for pricing. Just be honest about the condition. At some point it doesn't matter whether or not an old firearm actually works.

    • Upvote 1
  5. We have road salt. I won't ride in it. Late November to mid December it hits, and will be around till a variable March to April.

     

    January and February can be quite cold. Ice and snow and wind. Even then, I've been out on bikes in the Winter on nice days, and I quite enjoyed it. The trick is to get a beater bike that you don't care if it gets rusty.

     

    edit: coming from Alabama, you won't be outside much that first Winter....

  6. Another way of looking at it, is that the odds of an injury or fatality in a car or truck is exactly the same. Given the big difference of the number of average miles traveled per year between a motorcycle and a car/truck. Yes, I actually found that data. (edit: ok, the injuries on a bike were a bit higher...)

     

    But I'm going to insist that mileage on a motorcycle decreases risk. From the experience gained. I base that on comparison with hours of flight in aircraft as pilot. It seems to be true for that.

  7. So taking out being above legal intoxication levels, speed, unlicensed riders and those not wearing helmets, what is the fatality rate?

    Let's try a different approach to the (2005) data. It's 4,008 fatalities per 10,048,000,000 miles traveled. Or roughly one in 250 million road miles. Let's look at one of the largest categories. Something like 48% were vehicle collisions of which something like 38% were vehicles turning left in front of the bike. And perhaps one third of those were no braking or maneuver before the collision. That's probably the largest category, and probably disregards rider good behavior of sober-helmet-not speeding-etc.

     

    All causes for an average 10,000 miles per riding season, would be one in 25,000 chance or 0.0004% per year in general.

    Vehicle collision would be about half that, for one in 52000 or 0.0000192% per year.

    Left turns make it one in 137,061 or 0.000007296% per year.

    Actually braking or maneuvering would lower that to one in 207,668 or 0.000000481536% per year.

    I just wanted to show how absurdly low the numbers actually are.

     

    And experience from riding 10,000 miles per year make it even lower. From experience gained.

     

    So from experience (sic), I'll say that learning and maintaining your bike, learning your roads, staying hydrated, and being careful when tired and of course sober-helmet-not speeding-etc... would put a rider in a rather safe place to be.

     

    For comparison, the odds of being struck by lightning in a year is one in 500,000.

    A one to twenty ratio compared with all motorcycle fatalities (of 10,000 miles per year).

    So theoretically, riding only 500 miles a year is the same risk as a lightning strike.

  8. When trying to find some more recent data, I stumbled across this article. As mentioned above, I was surprised to find 56% of fatalities were in the age group above 40. 

    On a good note, the overall motorcycle fatalities each year appear to be decreasing. 

     

    http://www.iii.org/issue-update/motorcycle-crashes

     

    I also see it says the doubled supersports are the ones capable of up to 190 mph, and the average age of fatality for that is 27. Insurance claims for supersports are three times more likely than the other bikes.

     

    Both older riders and younger riders seem to lack experience. Basically not enough time on the bike to learn it well.

     

    edit: and a one third reduction overall for bikes with ABS braking systems. Noted...

  9. Another statistic source that differs, the NHTSA shows data for the same time frame, based on vehicle miles driven. Still an increase, but shows 44%. Not 100%.

     

    edit: on the other hand, it shows nearly doubled for the time frame 1995 to 2005.

     

    edit: here's the NHTSA summary, edited to be brief (I put in the bold):

     

    • An increase in the number of registered motorcycles.
    • An increase in motorcycle ownership in the 40 and above age group.
    • An increased number of motorcycle rider fatalities involve a motorcycle with a larger engine size.
    • An increased number of motorcycle rider fatalities in the 40 and above age group on rural roadways.
    • Undivided roadways accounted for a majority of motorcycle rider fatalities.
    • Speeding under the age of 30.
    • blood alcohol concentration (BAC) of .08 g/dL or higher continue to be a major problem.
    • Helmet use among fatally injured motorcycle riders has remained constant
    • About two-thirds (66%) of the fatally injured motorcycles riders in States without universal helmet laws in 2004 were not wearing helmets compared to 15 percent in States with universal helmet laws.
    • Among all riders, motorcycle operator fatalities under the age of 20 had larger percentages of improperly licensed riders.

    Draw you own conclusions. Most will be correct. Lots of possibilities.

  10. I lived in Torrance, North of Huntington Beach. Pick where you live wisely, commutes to work can take a lot of time out of your life. A 20 mile trip on Highway 1 can be 30 minutes, or easily over an hour in rush hour.

     

    You can find apartment rentals as low as 800 bucks, but the nicer stuff will be 1100 and up. There's two universities nearby, you might check those areas. Or... sharing an apartment is common in California. You might ask around at work first for advice and see what happens.

     

    http://www.zillow.com/homes/for_rent/house,condo,apartment_duplex,townhouse_type/1-_beds/paymenta_sort/33.783142,-117.889309,33.601752,-118.150921_rect/11_zm/

     

    And you need to get in contact with these guys: South Cal Sportbike Forum

  11. Don't take all this at face value, the Ohio state highway patrol has a study more recent and their data is exactly the opposite. Bike over 1200cc and age 40 and over was by far the worst group. Don't get me wrong, speed kills, but the statistics and the buzz words sounded like the beginning of legislation to ban sport bikes.

    I will find the study link for the state of Ohio.

    Exactly. That's what I saw a couple of years back when I looked. Majority were >1200cc. Check the raw data, Ohio and Fed.

     

    I think the point is... that time frame saw a rapid increase in ownership of motorcycles of all kinds. Many of those were first time riders. The days of buying a smaller but capable motorcycle to learn on are gone. Except in Britain and Japan and some US military bases where it's mandatory to put in time on smaller bikes to learn first.

     

    edit: lol... the same gov data said that if you rode sober, wore a helmet, and had medical insurance, your odds of crash, injury, or fatality dropped dramatically low. Statistics... whachyagonnado...

  12. Might not be your card itself. Bank websites (and other websites) have been the subject of a web inject attack this last week or two. If logging in on a compromised bank website, the username and password could be taken, and\or any passcodes used etc. Kinda hard to say, just another way to lose info to a scammer.

     

    edit: and yes, all charges on my cards are emailed to me quick enough to stop it. If it isn't refused on it's own by the credit union. Can't use one of the cards in Georgia at all. Guess there's a problem there along the freeways...

  13. Frogg Toggs Road Toad (the motorcycle item), yes, for a usable low cost pack it and take it along occasional solution. Dark blue, black, gray, lime green and silver, lime green and black. Some colors are hard to find. Some colors are discounted.

     

    Pants are all black? My old set is Dark Blue for both jacket and pants. Cheapest set I could find.

  14. You sure your clutch isn't slipping?

    I can move the katana around the garage and driveway without giving it throttle, but I don't just drop the clutch...

    well, thinking about it, a sudden release of clutch stalls. A slow normal release moves away at idle.

  15. SERS, which is the STRS equivalent for non-teachers...

    I'm retiring on SERS/STRS. Most excellent. And under the cutoff. And have 30+ years outside to allow a full Social Security check. Get both. And Rockwell retirement. And Veteran's Administration medical. The only big thing that changed over the years was the retirement insurance went up to cover less. A national trend, the feds didn't help but didn't hurt, it was going there anyway. There are way more difficult changes needed to get where we want to go.

     

    I did see a lot of STRS quickly retire, to avoid their earlier cutoff. Poof, gone...

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